Shimizu S Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction 15.06.2025
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Shimizu S Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Predictions
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction and Betting Tips for Sunday, June 16 in the J1 League. The two sides are locked in a tense midtable battle, with only one point between them. In this article, you’ll discover our top insights and stats-driven picks, including our expert J1 League Predictions.
- Shimizu S-Pulse have scored in 100% of their league matches this season
- Gamba Osaka have the joint-worst defence in the J1 League with 27 goals conceded
- 67% of Shimizu’s games end with both teams scoring
- Only one point separates the two teams ahead of Sunday’s clash
Shimizu S-Pulse return home to the IAI Stadium looking to end a rough patch that has seen them win just once in their last six league matches. Despite their recent form, the newly-promoted side still sits above Gamba Osaka with 25 points, highlighting the competitiveness of the current campaign. Shimizu’s attack remains a strong point, averaging 1.78 goals per game and scoring in every match so far this season. However, their defence has been leaky, with 26 goals conceded — the third-worst in the division.
Last weekend’s 4-2 loss to Cerezo Osaka exposed S-Pulse’s defensive vulnerabilities once again, though they continue to offer excitement in games that rarely lack goals. 67% of their matches this season have ended with both teams scoring, and two-thirds have produced over 2.5 goals. Riki Gunji is pushing for a starting spot after scoring off the bench last time out, while Takashi Inui remains key to unlocking defences in the No. 10 role.
Gamba Osaka, meanwhile, have also been struggling for consistency. After a three-match winning run in early May, they’ve managed just one point from their last four outings. The 1-0 defeat to Kashima Antlers last time out showed effort but lacked cutting edge. Daniel Poyatos’ side has scored just once per game on average this season while conceding 1.7 goals per match, making them statistically the weakest defence in the league alongside Kyoto.
With just 19 points and defensive issues of their own, Gamba will be eager to find their rhythm. Welton or Shu Kurata could be rotated in to add spark in the final third. Historically, Gamba hold a slight advantage in this fixture, having won 35 of the 75 meetings, but with both sides leaking goals and fighting for stability, this shapes up to be a tight, open affair. Expect a game decided in moments — and possibly goals at both ends.
While Gamba took a narrow 1-0 win in March, the numbers and current form lean toward the hosts avoiding defeat this time. For more insights, check out our latest J1 League Predictions.
Shimizu S-Pulse have shown themselves to be a more reliable side at home, and while recent results haven’t been ideal, they’ve still managed to score in every game this season. Their attacking consistency—1.78 goals per match—is notable, especially against a Gamba Osaka defence conceding 1.7 goals per game, the joint-worst in the J1 League. Although Shimizu have lost four of their last six, they’ve only dropped points to teams currently above them in the table. Hosting a Gamba side who have failed to win any of their last four matches and struggle to finish chances (1 goal/game average), this represents a good opportunity for the hosts to stop the bleeding. Shimizu’s xG and shot creation stats continue to trend positively, while Gamba are losing defensive duels and suffering lapses in concentration. With both sides leaky but Shimizu being stronger at home, the Double Chance bet on Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw (1X) holds solid value.
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