Brazilian Serie A Predictions Football Predictions

Bahia vs Atletico Prediction 13.07.2025

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Bahia vs Atletico Prediction 13.07.2025

Bahia vs Atletico Prediction

Bahia vs Atletico Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 13 of the Brazilian Serie A, scheduled for Sunday, July 14. Bahia return to the Arena Fonte Nova aiming to build on their strong home record. In this article, you’ll discover Brazilian Serie A Predictions carefully analysed by XpertStats tipsters.

  • Bahia are unbeaten in 80% of their last 40 home games across competitions.
  • Atletico Mineiro are on an impressive eight-game unbeaten streak.
  • Key players missing for both sides could tilt the balance in Bahia’s favour.


Bahia have quietly become one of the most reliable home teams in Brazil’s top flight, avoiding defeat in 24 of their last 30 league matches at the Arena Fonte Nova. Their attacking output at home remains solid, averaging 1.33 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.67. This consistency, combined with a strong recent run of five consecutive home wins, gives Rogério Ceni’s side every reason to believe they can take all three points against a tough Atletico outfit.

Another factor favouring Bahia is their recent head-to-head dominance in Salvador. The hosts have beaten Atletico Mineiro four times in their last five meetings at home and remain unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 encounters at the Fonte Nova. Even with Kanu suspended and a couple of injury concerns, Bahia’s impressive record in front of their fans should fuel their confidence as they look to close the gap at the top of the table.

Atletico Mineiro, however, will not roll over easily. Cuca’s men arrive in Bahia on the back of an eight-game unbeaten run across all competitions, including five wins. They’ve also been resilient on the road, losing just once in their last seven away matches. With an average of 0.83 goals scored per game and only one goal conceded per match, they’ll be looking to frustrate Bahia and exploit any defensive lapses.

Despite their sturdy away form, Atletico face key absences that could hurt them on Sunday. With goalkeeper Everson and defender Rony suspended, plus creative spark Tomas Cuello sidelined through injury, their stability at the back and creativity in attack may be compromised. That could make it tough to break down a Bahia side that thrives on home momentum. Stay tuned for more Brazilian Serie A Predictions and expert insights throughout the season at XpertStats.com.

Prediction
Bahia to Win @2.27
Bahia’s impressive form at the Arena Fonte Nova makes them a clear favourite to claim all three points against Atletico Mineiro. Rogério Ceni’s side have avoided defeat in 80% of their last 40 home games across all competitions, underlining their consistency on familiar turf. With an average of 1.33 goals scored and just 0.67 conceded per match, Bahia combine attacking threat with defensive solidity. Their head-to-head record at home also gives them the edge, having beaten Atletico four times in their last five meetings in Salvador. Atletico’s eight-game unbeaten run is commendable, but missing key players like goalkeeper Everson and creative midfielder Tomas Cuello could disrupt their structure at both ends of the pitch. With Bahia already winning five consecutive home games and scoring at least two goals in each, the hosts should have enough firepower to capitalise on Atletico’s absences. Backing Bahia to win looks a smart play here.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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