Real Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction 19.08.2025
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Real Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction
Real Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction and Betting Tips for the La Liga opener on Tuesday, August 19. The match will be staged at El Sadar, where the hosts look to spoil Madrid’s start. In this article, you’ll find insights and LaLiga Predictions from XpertStats analysts.
- Real Madrid begin their 2025-26 La Liga campaign away at El Sadar against Osasuna on Tuesday night.
- Xabi Alonso takes charge of his first league game as Madrid coach with key absences in his squad.
- Osasuna come into the clash aiming to repeat their strong ninth-place finish last season.
- Kylian Mbappe set for his La Liga debut after scoring twice in pre-season.
Osasuna enter their seventh consecutive season in the top flight, and while last year’s ninth-place finish brought pride, there’s a sense that Alessio Lisci’s squad might have plateaued. Only two new signings arrived this summer, Victor Munoz and Valentin Rosier, hardly the kind of reinforcements that set pulses racing. Their pre-season offered little reassurance either, with just one victory, a 3-0 win over Mirandes. Can Ante Budimir, who scored 21 league goals last year, really carry them again without more support?
That said, Osasuna at El Sadar can be stubborn and scrappy, traits that have frustrated bigger sides before. Still, the loss of Jesus Areso to Athletic Bilbao and other notable exits make them look lighter on depth. Ruben Garcia and Iker Benito face late fitness calls, which leaves Lisci with selection headaches. Even so, the passionate home crowd will expect their team to at least make Madrid sweat.
For Xabi Alonso, this is no gentle baptism. Real Madrid finished just four points shy of Barcelona last season, and the new coach already faces pressure to end their rivals’ dominance. Pre-season was brief but encouraging: a 4-0 win over WSG Tirol, with Mbappe opening his account in style, followed by disappointment in the Club World Cup. Reinforcements have come, including Trent Alexander-Arnold and Franco Mastantuono, but missing Antonio Rudiger, Jude Bellingham, and Endrick is far from ideal.
Even so, the firepower is frightening. Mbappe, Vinicius, and Rodrygo could form one of the most explosive attacks in Europe if they click. Los Blancos haven’t lost to Osasuna in the league since January 2011, and that statistic looms large. Still, opening day jitters, combined with Osasuna’s resilience, might just keep things tighter than many expect. Bold prediction? Madrid edge it, but it won’t be as comfortable as the gulf in quality suggests. After all, LaLiga Predictions have a way of surprising us when least expected.
Kylian Mbappe is stepping into his first La Liga campaign with Real Madrid, and the spotlight couldn’t be brighter. He showed his intent immediately in pre-season, bagging two goals against WSG Tirol and looking sharp with his movement in the final third. Against Osasuna, a team that conceded 38 goals last season and often allows pressure in wide areas, Mbappe is likely to find space. With Vinicius on the left stretching defenses, Mbappe will operate centrally, getting on the end of crosses and through balls. Even without Jude Bellingham pulling strings, Madrid have enough creative outlets in Arda Güler and Federico Valverde to supply him. Osasuna’s defense, while organized, lost key pieces in the summer and may struggle against elite pace. Expect Mbappe to test Sergio Herrera more than once. Over 1.5 shots on target feels realistic, maybe even conservative, given his hunger to make a statement debut.
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