Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Prediction 23.06.2025
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Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Prediction
Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Prediction and Betting Tips for this decisive Club World Cup group stage clash on Monday, June 24. The action unfolds at the iconic Rose Bowl, where Diego Simeone’s side face a daunting task against a Botafogo team high on confidence. Atletico must win, and win big, to avoid crashing out early. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Club World Cup Predictions powered by data from XpertStats.
- Atletico Madrid must win by three goals to qualify for the knockout stages.
- Botafogo have already beaten PSG and only need a draw to go through.
- Atletico scored 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 games – winning all of them.
- Botafogo are on a 5-game winning streak and thriving in their CWC debut.
Atletico Madrid’s campaign started on shaky ground with a bruising 4-0 defeat to PSG. They rebounded well with a commanding 3-1 win over Seattle Sounders, thanks in part to Pablo Barrios’ midfield brilliance. Despite this recovery, qualification remains complicated. If PSG defeat Seattle as expected, Atleti must beat Botafogo by three goals — an uphill battle, especially given the defensive discipline shown by the Brazilians. Antoine Griezmann is expected to return to the starting XI alongside Julian Alvarez, as Diego Simeone pushes for attacking firepower in this must-win fixture.
Consistency has eluded Los Colchoneros. They’ve scored three or more goals in six of their last ten matches, winning all of those. Yet in the other four, they failed to score entirely and lost three times. With such form volatility, Atletico fans are left wondering which version of their team will show up in Pasadena. The stakes couldn’t be higher: even a two-goal win wouldn’t be enough to guarantee progression depending on PSG’s result. A fast start is crucial, especially against a compact, counter-ready opponent like Botafogo.
Botafogo have been the story of the tournament so far. After edging past Seattle 2-1, they stunned European champions PSG 1-0 with a gritty, disciplined performance. Igor Jesus’ first-half goal was enough to secure a famous win, despite only having 26% possession. That result was historic — the first time since 2012 that a South American club has beaten European opposition at the Club World Cup. Led by Renato Paiva, Botafogo are now unbeaten in 10 of their last 13 games and head into this game full of belief, knowing a draw is enough.
The Brazilian champions qualified for the CWC by winning the 2024 Copa Libertadores and have proved their pedigree with back-to-back wins in this “Group of Death.” Renato Paiva is expected to stick with the mobile attacking trio of Igor Jesus, Jefferson Savarino, and Artur, while experience will anchor the midfield with Allan, Marlon Freitas, and Gregore. With their defensive structure and momentum, Botafogo are in a strong position to frustrate Atletico and reach the last 16. That makes this match a fascinating tactical battle — and one where the value lies with the underdog.
Club World Cup Predictions continue to highlight Botafogo’s surge as a force on the world stage, while Atletico’s inconsistencies add an element of risk to any outcome-dependent scenario.
Given the current form and tournament dynamics, backing Botafogo to avoid defeat (X2) offers great value. The Brazilian champions are in top shape, having won five straight matches, including a 1-0 shock win over PSG. That victory wasn’t a fluke — Botafogo executed a perfect game plan, soaking pressure and hitting on the counter. Their defensive discipline is remarkable, and they’ve conceded just twice in their last five outings. Atletico, meanwhile, are inconsistent. Though capable of scoring heavily, they collapse under pressure, as seen in their 4-0 loss to PSG. A three-goal win is a tall order, and with Botafogo only needing a draw, their approach will likely frustrate a desperate Atleti side. Renato Paiva’s men have the mental edge and tactical clarity to see this out. Their midfield trio brings balance, and the mobile front line can exploit the gaps when Atletico commit forward. Botafogo are unbeaten in 10 of their last 13. X2 is the smart play.
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