Avispa Fukuoaka vs Albirex Niigata Prediction 21.06.2025
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Avispa Fukuoaka vs Albirex Niigata Prediction
Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s J1 League Round 21 fixture at Best Denki Stadium. The hosts are hoping to end their poor home record against Niigata, who have won each of their last four league visits to this ground. In this article, you’ll find our latest J1 League Predictions and expert insights from XpertStats tipsters.
- Avispa Fukuoka have averaged just 0.9 goals scored per game this season.
- Albirex Niigata have won their last four J1 League away games at Best Denki Stadium.
- Only 20% of Avispa’s matches have seen more than 8.5 corners.
- Albirex have failed to score in two of their last three league away games.
Avispa Fukuoka come into this weekend’s clash in decent form, having secured back-to-back wins across all competitions, including a narrow 1-0 triumph over Fagiano Okayama. However, their league consistency remains questionable, with just one win in their last 10 top-flight matches. They currently sit 11th in the standings with 26 points, boasting a modest scoring rate of 0.9 goals per game and conceding the same amount. Defensive solidity has been their strength, but they struggle to dominate matches offensively — a factor that could shape Saturday’s proceedings.
Despite their relatively steady league position, Avispa have picked up only three wins at home this season. Their set-piece threat is limited, managing just 3.2 corners per game while conceding nearly four — a sign of their passive attacking style. Centre-back Tomoya Ando remains a key figure, not just defensively but also as their joint-top scorer, while forward Kazuya Konno will be counted on in the final third. Injuries to Shahab Zahedi, Itsuki Oda, and Jurato Ikeda further reduce their attacking depth.
Albirex Niigata, meanwhile, are locked in a relegation fight, sitting 18th in the table. However, recent signs of improvement have been promising. Daisuke Kimori’s side have picked up consecutive wins in league and cup action, including a solid 1-0 home victory over Yokohama F. Marinos. Although they average just 0.67 goals per game, they have proven effective in capitalizing on limited chances and are boosted by the form of forward Motoki Hasegawa, who has scored six goals this campaign.
Defensively, Albirex remain vulnerable, conceding 1.33 goals per game and allowing 5.11 corners per match. Despite that, they have a strong track record at this venue, winning their last four league games at Best Denki Stadium without conceding. Their low scoring rate and compact tactical setup suggest another tight, low-event game could be in store — making this one to watch for punters targeting narrow margins.
J1 League Predictions don’t get more intriguing than this — a battle of defensive resilience and narrow wins could define the outcome.
Both teams play with conservative styles that limit corner-kick production. Avispa Fukuoka average just 3.2 corners per match while conceding 3.9, totaling a modest 7.1 corners per game — with 0% of their matches surpassing 9.5 corners. Albirex Niigata are slightly higher at 8.44 corners per game, but still below the 9.5 threshold. Their average of 3.33 corners won and 5.11 conceded keeps most of their games well under double digits. Given that this match involves two low-scoring sides (1.8 total goals/game for Avispa, 2.0 for Niigata), attacking opportunities will likely be limited. Additionally, both sides come off 1-0 wins, showing preference for tight, controlled football. With only 22% of Niigata’s matches surpassing the 9.5 corner mark, and 0% for Fukuoka, the data supports a low-corner outcome. In a game with limited offensive intent and low corner averages, Under 9.5 Corners is a value pick.
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