Botafogo vs Corinthians Prediction 26.07.2025
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Botafogo vs Corinthians Prediction
Botafogo vs Corinthians Prediction and Betting Tips for Sunday’s clash at the Estadio Nilton Santos in Rio de Janeiro. The home side look to keep their unbeaten streak alive under new boss Davide Ancelotti, while Corinthians desperately need a spark to reverse their slide. This article features Brazilian Serie A Predictions from the XpertStats team.
- Botafogo are unbeaten in their last six league matches, with four wins
- Corinthians have managed just one win in their last five outings
- Botafogo average 2.17 goals per match and have the second-best defense in the league
- Corinthians are missing several key players due to injuries and suspensions
Botafogo are a team on the rise. Since Ancelotti stepped into the dugout in early July, the squad has taken on a sharper edge more compact at the back, quicker in transition, and mentally tougher. Their 1-0 win away at Sport Recife last weekend might not have made headlines, but it was a gritty performance that spoke volumes. Even with Igor Jesus now in England, the goals haven’t dried up 11 different players have chipped in this season. That kind of shared responsibility? It’s gold in a long campaign.
Defensively, they’re even more impressive. Just seven goals conceded in 14 matches that’s no fluke. They’ve also been rock solid at home, picking up four wins in their last six at the Nilton Santos and keeping four clean sheets in the process. Freitas has quietly become the midfield engine, pulling strings and stepping up in big moments. This isn’t a flashy side, but it’s brutally effective.
Corinthians, though? They’re in a tough spot. One win from their last five, and that 0-0 draw with Cruzeiro last time out didn’t exactly inspire confidence. Dorival Junior’s side looks caught between ideas not enough bite up front, not enough resistance at the back. The stats don’t lie: 0.5 goals scored per game, 1.5 conceded. That’s not a winning formula, especially on the road where they’ve lost five of their last six.
And now the injury list reads like a starting lineup. Yuri Alberto’s out, so is Maycon, Hugo, Ryan and with Martinez, Raniele, and Garro suspended, the midfield’s a mess. Memphis Depay and Angel Romero might offer flashes, but can they carry this team on their own? It’s hard to say. What is clear is that Corinthians have lost three of their last four against Botafogo, and Sunday’s visit to Rio doesn’t look any friendlier.
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Botafogo are in solid form and full of confidence. They haven’t lost in their last six league matches and come into this fixture with a rock-solid defense, conceding just 0.67 goals per game. At home, they’ve been clinical four wins from their last six, including four clean sheets. Even with Igor Jesus gone, they continue to find the net through multiple players. Corinthians, meanwhile, are a mess. They’ve scored just 0.5 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.5. They also have serious injury issues, including the absence of top scorer Yuri Alberto and three suspended midfielders. Memphis Depay is a big name, but without support, he’s isolated. Corinthians haven’t won at Nilton Santos in years and have lost three of their last four meetings with Botafogo. All signs point to a home win. This isn’t just a hunch, it’s backed by the numbers.
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