Bragantino vs Bahia Predictions 12.06.2025
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Bragantino vs Bahia Predictions
Brazilian Serie A Predictions feature a high-stakes encounter on Thursday as Bragantino host Bahia at the Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid. Both sides are chasing places near the summit of the league table, with the hosts sitting third and the visitors trailing just behind in seventh. In this article, you’ll find Bragantino vs Bahia Prediction and Betting Tips crafted by XpertStats analysts.
- Bragantino are unbeaten in their last 9 home games vs Bahia
- Both teams average over 12 corners combined per game
- Bragantino have won 7 of their 11 league games so far
- Bahia’s corner rate exceeds 80% for +9.5 in recent matches
Bragantino have made a striking turnaround this season, already surpassing half of their 2024 point total after just 11 games. With 23 points and only two losses, Fernando Seabra’s team have found consistency, bolstered by three straight wins leading up to this fixture. Their defensive discipline stands out—just eight goals conceded—while their attacking unit, led by Eduardo Sasha and Thiago Borbas, has kept pressure on opponents with sharp movement and pace.
At home, Bragantino are a force. They’ve won eight of their last nine encounters against Bahia at the Nabi Abi Chedid, and their average of 5.67 corners won per game signals sustained attacking pressure. Injuries remain a concern, with key names like Agustin Sant’Anna and Henry Mosquera sidelined, but the likely return of Lucas Barbosa provides a welcome boost to midfield stability.
Bahia’s campaign has been solid but slightly inconsistent of late. Although Rogerio Ceni’s side started strong, their recent record of four wins and six defeats in the last ten matches underlines some volatility. They remain level on goals scored and conceded (11), reflecting a need for greater balance, though Willian Jose’s form up front—four goals in five games—gives them a reliable attacking outlet.
The visitors’ corner numbers stand out, with an average of 12.4 total corners per match and an 80% hit rate on over 9.5 corners. While Bahia have injuries of their own—Erick, Kanu, and Rezende among them—their wide play and willingness to shoot early mean they remain corner-generating threats. This aligns well with the Brazilian Serie A Predictions trends and makes this match a promising betting opportunity.
Bragantino have found their rhythm this season, bouncing back strongly from last year’s relegation scare. They currently sit third in the Brazilian Serie A and are just one point off the top spot. With three consecutive wins and a home record that includes eight victories and one draw in their last nine home matches against Bahia, the trend strongly favors the hosts. Fernando Seabra’s team have tightened their defense significantly, conceding only eight goals in 11 matches—second-best in the league. Despite some injury concerns, their attacking options, including Sasha and Borbas, remain effective and consistent. Bahia, meanwhile, have been struggling for form with six defeats in their last ten games and a defense that has conceded as many goals as they’ve scored. Bragantino’s strong home advantage, superior recent form, and historical dominance at the Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid make them clear favorites to secure another three points on Thursday.
This match has all the makings of a high-corner encounter. Bragantino matches average 11.84 corners per game, and Bahia’s numbers are even stronger, with an average of 12.4. These teams rely heavily on wing play and quick attacking transitions, naturally leading to corner situations. Bahia alone have seen Over 9.5 corners in 80% of their league matches, while Bragantino’s Over 9.5 rate sits at 67%. Additionally, Bahia hit the +8.5 line in 100% of their games this season, showing a strong upward trend. With both sides pushing for top-table positions and employing aggressive, flank-focused tactics, it’s very likely we’ll see a corner count reach double digits. Both defenses concede a high number of corners (Bragantino 6.17 and Bahia 6.2), which further boosts the total corner potential. Based purely on the data and tactical patterns of both sides, Over 9.5 Total Corners is a statistically strong and value-rich pick.
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