Cerezo Osaka vs Verdy Prediction 21.06.2025
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Cerezo Osaka vs Verdy Prediction
Cerezo Osaka vs Verdy Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s J1 League encounter at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. In this article, you’ll discover J1 League Predictions from XpertStats analysts, backed by hard stats and recent performances from both sides.
- Cerezo Osaka have scored 16 goals in their last five home matches in all competitions.
- Tokyo Verdy have managed just one win in their last eight J1 League away fixtures.
- Rafael Ratão has 13 goals in 17 league appearances this season.
- Verdy have the lowest average goals scored per match in the J1 League (0.5).
Cerezo Osaka enter this fixture in strong form, having lost just one of their last eight league games. With a commanding 4-2 home win over Shimizu S-Pulse and a 5-0 Emperor’s Cup thrashing of Arterivo, Arthur Papas’s side are full of confidence. They have bagged 32 league goals so far — the best scoring record in the division — and remain solid defensively with only 1 goal conceded per match on average. Their 70% rate of both teams scoring also highlights their attacking intent.
The Osaka outfit currently sit eighth in the table with 30 points from 21 matches and are unbeaten in their last five home games, winning all of them. With attacking talents like Rafael Ratão (13 goals) and Thiago Andrade (6 goals), Cerezo will look to dominate early and press high. They average 2.5 total goals per game, and 80% of their matches see over 1.5 goals scored — evidence of their consistent offensive production.
Tokyo Verdy, on the other hand, are struggling to replicate last season’s form. Sitting in 14th place with 24 points, Hiroshi Jofuku’s side have only scored 13 goals in 20 games — the joint-lowest in the league. Verdy average just 1.5 goals per match and fail to score in 80% of their games. Their 3-0 home defeat to Kashiwa Reysol last week underlines their issues in both defence and attack.
Although Verdy have drawn half of their away games this season, they’ve managed just two wins in ten on the road. Goki Yamada is sidelined with injury, and without many attacking threats, Verdy could struggle to break down an in-form Cerezo side. With only 20% of their matches featuring both teams scoring, Verdy will likely focus on containment rather than confrontation in this clash. Expect Cerezo Osaka to control the tempo and secure another home victory.
For more expert analysis and stats-driven previews, check out our full range of J1 League Predictions.
Cerezo Osaka are heavy favorites coming into this clash, and for good reason. They have won all of their last five home matches across all competitions, scoring 16 goals and conceding just three. In contrast, Tokyo Verdy have struggled mightily away from home, registering just two wins in 10 J1 League road games and failing to score in five of those. Cerezo average 1.5 goals scored per match and concede only one — a much more balanced profile than Verdy, who average just 0.5 goals scored per match. Adding to the home side’s edge is the lethal form of Rafael Ratão, who has netted 13 times in 17 appearances this season. With Verdy missing key man Goki Yamada and showing the worst goalscoring record in the division, this looks like a mismatch on paper and form. Cerezo Osaka to win is the value pick, combining home advantage, form, and firepower.
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