Charlotte vs New York City Prediction 13.07.2025
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Charlotte vs New York City Prediction
Charlotte vs New York City Prediction and Betting Tips for this weekend’s MLS clash at Bank of America Stadium in North Carolina. In this preview, we’ll break down form, stats, and our expert MLS Predictions to help you make the smartest picks.
- Charlotte FC have never lost at home to NYCFC, winning all three previous meetings.
- New York City FC struggle on the road with just one away win in 2025.
- Goals could flow: Charlotte average 3.33 goals per match this season.
Charlotte FC return to home soil hoping to snap a three-match losing run in MLS. Dean Smith’s side have shown attacking promise, averaging 2.11 goals per game and scoring in 89% of their matches. However, defensive frailties have been exposed recently, conceding multiple goals in three straight home fixtures. Encouragingly, Charlotte have a strong record when netting early, staying unbeaten in their last eight home league matches when scoring in the first half. They’ll want to make the most of their Bank of America Stadium advantage where they’ve never lost to NYCFC.
Injuries and suspensions tested the Crown last time out against Orlando, where they surrendered a 2-0 lead to settle for a frustrating draw. Dean Smith will be looking for more defensive solidity while maintaining that attacking threat that makes them such an entertaining watch. With players like Pep Biel and Bill Tuiloma finding the net, Charlotte’s supporters can be hopeful their side can extend their perfect home record against the Pigeons.
New York City FC travel south sitting seventh in the Eastern Conference. They bounced back from a disappointing defeat with a 3-1 win over Toronto, highlighting their resilience under Pascal Jansen. But away form remains a concern — NYCFC have managed just one win on the road all season. Goals have been hard to come by too, with the team averaging only 0.89 goals scored per game. Their defensive record isn’t much better either, conceding 1.33 goals per match. That said, they do have match-winners like Hannes Wolf and Mitja Ilenic, who can pop up with vital goals.
One worrying stat for New York is their lack of goals in the first half of away matches, scoring before the break only twice this year and failing to win on both occasions. With a tough record in Charlotte — no wins and only one away victory overall this season — they’ll need a big performance to take anything from this trip. For punters, this clash screams value for a result in favor of the hosts and goals on the night. Keep an eye on our MLS Predictions for any last-minute team news that could swing the odds further.
Backing Charlotte FC on the double chance market (1X) looks smart given their exceptional home record against NYCFC. The Crown have won all three of their MLS home meetings with New York by a single goal and even posted two clean sheets in the process. They remain unbeaten in eight straight home games when scoring in the first half, showcasing their resilience at Bank of America Stadium. Dean Smith’s men average 2.11 goals per match and find the net in 89% of their games, which bodes well against a New York City side that struggles away. NYCFC have only one road win in 2025 and often fail to start strong, scoring just twice before half-time away all season. With Charlotte’s ability to bounce back and the visitors’ poor travel record, the double chance offers solid protection if the hosts slip up late. This bet combines home strength with NYCFC’s road struggles.
Backing Over 1.5 Goals makes sense when you look at Charlotte’s goal stats. They average 3.33 goals per match, with 89% of their games hitting over 1.5 goals. They’ve conceded multiple times in three straight home matches, so even if they score early, they often allow opponents back into the game. New York City FC may have a lower scoring average, but their away matches have seen goals, especially when they chase the game. NYCFC’s defense concedes an average of 1.33 per match, and they’ve managed to find the net late in games too. The fixture’s head-to-head record supports this as well, with Charlotte’s attack firing at home and NYCFC desperate to break their losing run on the road. With both sides motivated, and defensive gaps on both ends, Over 1.5 Goals looks a reliable bet to cover at least two goals during 90 minutes.
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