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Fluminense vs Vasco Prediction 24.05.2025

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Fluminense vs Vasco Prediction 24.05.2025

Fluminense vs Vasco Prediction and Betting Tips

Fluminense vs Vasco Prediction and Betting Tips: Scheduled for Saturday, May 24 at 22:40 at the Estadio Maracana, this Matchday 10 encounter in the Brazilian Serie A will bring fireworks between Rio de Janeiro rivals. Both sides arrive with different ambitions and inconsistent league form.

Fluminense come into this match fresh from a 4-1 cup win over Aparecidense and remain unbeaten at home this season. Despite recent league struggles, the team has scored in every home game and looks confident with key players contributing in attack. Their solid defensive stats make them tough hosts.

Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, ended a long winless streak with a 3-0 victory over Fortaleza. However, they’ve failed to win in nine straight away games and continue to show weaknesses in both attack and defense. Consistency and squad depth remain key challenges.

This clash promises tension, fouls, and goals, typical of a Carioca derby. Fluminense’s strong home form contrasts Vasco’s away woes. Expect a gritty battle with tactical nuances. Don’t miss our expert Fluminense vs Vasco Prediction and Betting Tips.

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Fluminense

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  • Position: 7 with 14 points
  • Top Scorer: Kevin Serna- 2 goals
  • Fluminense are unbeaten in seven home matches across all competitions this season, a vital advantage going into this derby.
  • Fluminense’s recent matches suggest strong home form and consistent scoring, giving them the edge against inconsistent Vasco on Saturday night at Maracanã.
  • The team recently crushed Aparecidense in Copa do Brasil, showing their attacking depth even with key absentees.
  • Key midfielder Nonato is suspended after accumulating too many yellow cards and will miss this match.
  • Uruguayan duo Bernal and Canobbio remain out injured, limiting midfield creativity.
  • Striker German Cano and Otavio are also ruled out, raising concerns over offensive efficiency.

Vasco

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  • Position: 13 with 10 points
  • Top Scorer: Pablo Vegetti- 7 goals
  • Vasco finally ended their winless streak with a 3-0 victory over Fortaleza, gaining momentum ahead of this clash.
  • Despite reaching the Copa do Brasil quarters, Vasco’s away stats remain weak, unlike Fluminense’s dominance at Maracanã in recent fixtures.
  • Philippe Coutinho is suspended following a red card in their last league game.
  • Key absentees include Payet, David, Estrella, and likely Rayan due to recent injuries.
  • These injury woes put pressure on a squad already struggling to score consistently in the league.
  • Vasco average 0.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, a worrying stat away from home.
  • 75% of Vasco’s games see over 2.5 goals, but only 50% feature both teams scoring.
In Fluminense’s commanding 4–1 win over Aparecidense, Ganso scored his first goal of the season, marking a hopeful return after recovering from myocarditis. His performance, alongside goals from Samuel Xavier, Everaldo, and an own goal by Vanderley, highlighted the team’s offensive improvement. Despite early defensive lapses, Fluminense showed technical superiority and tactical discipline, securing a Copa do Brasil quarter-final spot and building momentum ahead of their clash with Vasco. O Globo
Prediction
Fluminense to Win @1.73
Fluminense to win is a strong pick based on form, stats, and injuries. At home, Fluminense are unbeaten in seven matches across competitions and boast a solid average of 1.5 goals scored per game, conceding just 0.75. They’ve scored in every home match this season, supported by strong corner and foul stats, indicating sustained offensive pressure. Vasco, meanwhile, average only 0.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, with major injury issues. The absence of Philippe Coutinho, Payet, and likely Rayan strips them of creativity. Additionally, Vasco haven’t won in their last nine away matches, losing seven. Fluminense’s midfield control, corner generation (6.25 per game), and card discipline give them the tools to dominate possession and create multiple chances. Recent wins in domestic and continental competitions also suggest momentum. For these reasons, Fluminense to Win is a well-supported tip based on consistent statistical evidence and match context.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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