Fortaleza vs Bahia Prediction 19.07.2025
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Fortaleza vs Bahia Prediction
Fortaleza vs Bahia Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s Brazilian Serie A fixture at Estadio Governador Placido Castelo. This match marks the beginning of a new era for Fortaleza under Renato Paiva, who steps in after the emotional departure of Juan Pablo Vojvoda. In this article, you’ll discover Brazilian Serie A Predictions curated by our expert analysts at XpertStats.
- Fortaleza have won just 4 of their last 26 matches across all competitions
- Bahia have won 4 of their last 5 games and sit 4th in the table
- Both sides average over 10 corners per game this season
- New coach Renato Paiva debuts for Fortaleza after Vojvoda’s exit
Fortaleza’s season has been marred by inconsistency, injuries, and a sharp decline in form. The side has managed just 10 points and remains winless in their last eight outings. They’ve struggled to find the net, scoring only 1.43 goals per game while conceding 1.14. A major concern remains their lack of attacking cohesion, as seen in the recent Clássico-Rei where they failed to register a single shot on target. Although some injured players like Moises Vieira are nearing a return, confidence within the squad remains fragile.
Renato Paiva now faces the difficult task of stabilizing a leaky backline that has conceded 19 goals already this season, the third-worst in the league. While the squad averages 10.71 corners per game—thanks largely to their aggressive flanking play—their overall match control has been lacking. A tactical reset and improved morale will be essential if Leao do Pici are to end their losing streak and avoid sinking deeper into the relegation battle.
On the other side, Bahia are flying high. Rogerio Ceni’s men have found rhythm and resilience, notching four wins in their last five games across all competitions. Most notably, they stunned Bragantino 3-0 away from home and ousted Fortaleza 2-1 in the Copa do Nordeste. Their goal-scoring average sits at 1.00, but recent performances suggest a team hitting its stride. With a strong midfield and solid wing play, Bahia have become tough to contain—especially when counterattacking.
Bahia also dominate in the corner stats, averaging 11.16 corners per game and crossing the 9.5 mark in 67% of their matches. While a few players remain sidelined, the squad’s depth and structure remain intact. Having won three of the last four meetings between these two, Bahia enter this clash with momentum and confidence. This matchup looks set to test Fortaleza’s resolve under new leadership, and could feature another corner-heavy affair based on both teams’ tactical profiles.
The Over 9.5 Corners market holds strong value for this match, supported by the teams' season-long trends. Fortaleza average 10.71 corners per game, with 56% of their matches crossing the 9.5 threshold. Bahia have been even more prolific in this regard, averaging 11.16 corners per game and surpassing the 9.5 mark in 67% of fixtures. Both sides tend to use width aggressively, with Fortaleza’s flank-driven build-up and Bahia’s quick transitions generating frequent corner situations. Additionally, Fortaleza will be eager to impress under new management, pushing for attacking opportunities that naturally increase corner counts. Bahia’s recent high-tempo approach, combined with Fortaleza’s urgency to improve, points to an open game with consistent end-to-end action. Given their statistical profiles and tactical tendencies, a double-digit corner total is a strong possibility. Both teams also concede a high number of corners (Bahia: 5.83, Fortaleza: 4.14), further boosting the potential for this line to be covered.
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