Gremio vs Corinthians Predictions 13.06.2025
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Gremio vs Corinthians Predictions
Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 10 of the Brazilian Serie A, set for Thursday, June 13 at 21:30. The clash takes place at the Arena do Gremio, with both sides entering level on 15 points. In this article, you’ll discover Brazilian Serie A Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Gremio return home looking to extend a three-game winning streak in all competitions
- Corinthians are winless in 12 straight fixtures against Gremio, last losing in 2018
- Both teams are tied on 15 points, with goal difference the only separator
- Corinthians have failed to score in their last three matches across all competitions
Gremio come into this fixture riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in four straight games and boasting clean sheets in all of them. Mano Menezes’s side have rediscovered defensive discipline, overcoming Bahia 1-0 and Juventude 2-0 in the league, while also earning a goalless draw in the Copa do Brasil and a narrow 1-0 win in the Sudamericana. Despite missing key players like Cuellar and Edenilson, the team’s shape and control have been consistent—especially at home, where they’ve lost just once in six league matches.
However, Gremio face a psychological hurdle in Corinthians, having failed to defeat them in 12 consecutive meetings since 2018. That includes nine draws and a 3-0 home loss in December 2024. Even so, the hosts may sense opportunity this time, given Corinthians’ dip in form and attacking output. With Braithwaite and Olivera finding the net recently, the home side look primed to finally end their poor record against the Sao Paulo giants.
Corinthians, meanwhile, are grappling with serious issues in front of goal. Dorival Junior’s men have failed to score in three straight matches, including goalless draws against Atletico Mineiro and Bragantino, and a 1-0 loss to Huracan. The Timao have netted no more than once in each of their last eight games across all competitions. Their away form is even more worrying, with a single goal or less scored in each of their 12 away matches since February.
Injuries and international call-ups further complicate matters for Corinthians. With key attackers Yuri Alberto and Angel Romero both unavailable, and Memphis Depay on international duty, the visitors lack firepower up front. Defensive options are also thin, and squad cohesion has been disrupted by transfers. As a result, even with a strong historical edge in this fixture, the Timao face an uphill battle to leave Porto Alegre with points. A low-scoring, physical affair seems highly likely.
For more stats and tips, visit our Brazilian Serie A Predictions section.
This match has all the signs of being a physically intense clash, with both teams ranking among the highest in foul counts. Gremio average 13.17 fouls committed and 12.67 fouls drawn per match, resulting in a total foul average of 25.84. Corinthians are even more aggressive, committing 16.4 fouls per game while drawing 17, for a combined total of 33.4 fouls per match. These numbers reflect high physical engagement and potential midfield battles. Both sides are tied on points and the match holds direct table implications, further increasing tension. Gremio’s physical midfield style clashes directly with Corinthians' pressing structure, creating the perfect scenario for frequent stoppages. Historically, matches between these teams are tight and hard-fought, and Thursday’s matchup should follow the same pattern. Given the data and the nature of both teams' current form, Over 23.5 Fouls is statistically well supported and presents strong value in the betting markets.
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