Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction 26.07.2025

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction and Betting Tips for Friday night’s MLS showdown at Shell Energy Stadium. Both teams are battling below the playoff line in the Western Conference, and points are becoming desperate. In this article, you’ll get the latest insight, stats, and MLS Predictions straight from the XpertStats crew.

• Houston have lost three straight MLS matches despite scoring in each of them.
• LA Galaxy are unbeaten in four of their last five league games.
• Both teams have a 62% rate of BTTS this season.
• LA Galaxy are winless away to Houston since 2022.

Things aren’t clicking for Houston right now. After a bold start to July, Ben Olsen’s side have slipped into a rut with three consecutive losses. That dramatic 4-3 win over San Diego FC now feels like a distant memory. Defensive woes are the theme here 23 of their 39 conceded goals have come at home, and they’ve allowed three or more goals five times at Shell Energy Stadium. Despite that, they somehow managed a point against Philadelphia last weekend. But conceding the first goal in every MLS match this month? That’s not a winning formula.

And yet, they’ve had the upper hand in this fixture recently. Houston have won the last two home meetings with LA Galaxy, giving up just a single goal in the process. They’ll need that energy again, especially with injuries piling up. Andrew Tarbell, Nelson Quinones, and Erik Sviatchenko were all unavailable last week, and there’s been little news suggesting they’ll return on Friday. The attacking spark has faded too—no goals from open play since July 5. That’s a worry.

Across the pitch, the Galaxy come in showing signs of life. Still bottom of the West, yes, but unbeaten in four of their last five and showing resilience. Their thrilling 3-3 draw with LAFC, capped by Maya Yoshida’s last-gasp equalizer, hints at a squad that hasn’t given up. Gabriel Pec’s brace was a rare moment of attacking brilliance for a team averaging just 1.08 goals per game. The real problem? Their leaky backline. LA have conceded a league-high 48 goals, with 30 of those coming on the road. Ouch.

Still, there’s a weird upside to their away form lately. The Galaxy have taken points from three of their last four road games, despite trailing first each time. Ironically, when they score first, they lose. Go figure. That kind of unpredictability makes them dangerous and hard to bet against. They haven’t won at Shell Energy since 2022, but they’ve managed draws in three of the last five meetings. Maybe this is the night they turn the tide. It won’t be easy, but MLS Predictions rarely are.