Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction 20.07.2025
Share
Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction
Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction and Betting Tips for this Saturday’s MLS clash at BMO Stadium. In this article, you’ll discover MLS Predictions and expert insights for this weekend’s El Trafico showdown, where LAFC aim to continue their strong run at home while the Galaxy fight to escape the bottom of the table.
- LAFC have kept three consecutive clean sheets in July and remain unbeaten at home in their last six league games.
- Galaxy have conceded 27 goals away from home this season — the most in MLS 2025.
- Only one of LA Galaxy’s last 14 away matches ended in a win.
- LAFC have won the last three El Trafico matches at BMO Stadium.
Los Angeles FC have rediscovered their defensive solidity at the right time, keeping three straight clean sheets and winning all three of their July fixtures. Manager Steve Cherundolo has emphasized compact defending and effective transitions, and the results speak for themselves. With just 0.55 goals conceded per match, LAFC boast one of the league’s most resilient backlines. Their dominance at BMO Stadium has been especially striking, claiming eight wins in ten home games this season and triumphing in five of their last six league outings there.
Adding to their home strength, LAFC have a strong historical record in this derby when playing in their own backyard. They are unbeaten in their last five home regular-season meetings against the Galaxy, winning each of the last three. Even with injuries to players like Ryan Raposo and Aaron Long, the Black and Gold have maintained their consistency, thanks in part to standout performances from Denis Bouanga and goalkeeper Hugo Lloris, who has three consecutive shutouts.
On the other side of the city, LA Galaxy continue to struggle. Their defensive issues remain a glaring concern — they have conceded 45 goals this season, including 27 on the road. Despite a brief unbeaten run at home earlier this month, their away record is dismal, with zero wins and eight losses in ten matches. The absence of key playmaker Riqui Puig due to injury further limits their ability to control the game, while Joseph Paintsil’s late penalty in Austin last time out offered little consolation in yet another defeat.
Galaxy’s performances in El Trafico have occasionally sparked hope, with two draws in their last two meetings against LAFC. However, their inability to manage games away from home, coupled with LAFC’s sharp form at BMO Stadium, tips the scales heavily in favor of the home side. With playoff hopes fading, Greg Vanney’s squad is under pressure — but history, form, and stats all suggest another tough day at the office awaits them in this heated derby.
Explore more MLS Predictions and expert tips exclusively on XpertStats to stay ahead of the game.
Los Angeles FC’s consistency at home makes them strong favorites to take three points on Saturday. The Black and Gold have won 8 of their 10 MLS home games this season, including 5 of the last 6. Their defense has been exceptional, with only 0.55 goals conceded per game and three straight clean sheets in July. In contrast, LA Galaxy have the league’s worst away record, failing to win any of their 10 road games and conceding 27 goals in the process. They’ve lost 8 away games this season, tied for the most in the league. Historically, LAFC have also dominated this fixture at BMO Stadium, winning the last three meetings in MLS play. The Galaxy are further weakened by injuries to key players like Riqui Puig, while LAFC are thriving even with absentees. Given the contrast in form and home/away splits, backing LAFC to win is a strong and data-backed choice.
More Predictions:
