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Mirassol vs Santos Prediction 19.07.2025

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Mirassol vs Santos Prediction 19.07.2025

Mirassol vs Santos Prediction

Mirassol vs Santos Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 13 of the Brazilian Serie A, set for Saturday, July 20. The match takes place at the Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia, as two newly promoted teams clash in search of momentum. In this article, you’ll discover Brazilian Serie A Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

  • Mirassol are unbeaten in their last five Serie A matches, with 80% of games featuring over 1.5 goals.
  • Santos have won three of their last four matches, including a shock win over league leaders Flamengo.
  • Neymar is back in form with two goals in recent games but Santos still average just 0.86 goals per match.
  • Mirassol have scored more goals than any other team outside the top two, and boast a strong home record.


Mirassol have adapted quickly to life in the top flight, boasting an unbeaten run of five matches heading into this fixture. Rafael Guanaes’ side have impressed with their tactical cohesion, scoring 18 goals in 12 games while maintaining one of the best defensive records in the bottom half. Their recent 1-1 draw with Palmeiras showcased their resilience, coming from behind to equalize through debutant Francisco Da Costa. The return of Neto Moura from suspension adds steel to the midfield, while new signings like Carlos Eduardo and Felipe Jonatan increase squad depth.

Offensively, Mirassol are among the most consistent performers in the league, averaging 2 goals per match and seeing 80% of their games finish with over 1.5 goals. They have also been involved in numerous end-to-end encounters, with both teams scoring in 80% of their matches. This combination of attacking intent and defensive gaps makes them one of the most entertaining sides in the division.

Santos, meanwhile, appear to be on the rebound under new coach Cleber Xavier. After a dreadful start that saw them lose seven of their first 11 matches, they’ve now won three of their last four, climbing out of the relegation zone. Their most notable performance came in a 1-0 home win over Flamengo, with Neymar scoring an 84th-minute winner. That victory highlighted a newfound resilience and belief, although issues remain in consistency and defensive structure.

Despite Neymar’s return and some recent momentum, Santos still average just 0.86 goals per game and have seen only 43% of their fixtures hit over 1.5 goals. They remain without a draw on the road this season and continue to struggle with injuries to key players like Gil and Sergio Santos. Up against a balanced and efficient Mirassol side, they will need a near-perfect performance to come away with points. Expect a tight match, but one where goals and drama are almost guaranteed thanks to the sides’ contrasting styles and ambitions.

XpertStats Bet Builder
Mirassol or Draw
Mirassol come into this match unbeaten in their last five league fixtures, showing consistency and defensive strength. They’ve lost only twice in 12 Serie A games, and at home they’ve proven difficult to break down. The team has conceded just 13 goals all season, which is the best record among clubs outside the top 10. Meanwhile, Santos may have improved recently, but they still lost seven of their first 11 matches and remain inconsistent on the road. They’re also without key defender Gil and could miss Sergio Santos again. While Neymar adds flair, Mirassol’s well-organized backline and home support give them a solid chance of securing at least a draw. Santos are also one of the few teams yet to record a draw away from home this season. That trend may change here in what promises to be a close, tactical battle.
Over 1.5 Goals
This fixture is primed for at least two goals. Mirassol games have averaged 3 goals per match this season, with 80% of their matches ending with over 1.5 goals. Their attacking output has been strong, averaging 2 goals scored per match, and they often leave space at the back, leading to both teams scoring in 80% of their fixtures. Santos, while less prolific, still average 2.14 goals per match overall, and with Neymar now back in the lineup and scoring again, their offensive potential has increased. Despite their lower Over 1.5 percentage (43%), recent performances suggest a trend toward more open matches under new management. With Santos needing points to keep their momentum and Mirassol pushing for the top half, this clash is unlikely to be cagey. Expect at least two goals in a contest where both teams have plenty to play for.
@ 2.05

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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