Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama Prediction 02.08.2025
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Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama Prediction
Mirassol vs Vasco Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday, August 2, in Brazilian Serie A Matchday 18. The clash at Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia sees in-form Mirassol eye a top-four push, while Vasco da Gama just want to stop the rot. In this article, you’ll find Brazilian Serie A Predictions backed by XpertStats data.
- Mirassol are unbeaten in 8 league matches and have scored in every home game this season.
- Vasco da Gama have drawn their last 4 games and are winless in their last 6 across all competitions.
- Both teams have a 71% BTTS rate, but Mirassol’s defense has been far more solid lately.
- The last 5 Vasco games averaged 12.2 corner kicks – expect some set-piece action.
Mirassol have quietly become one of the most reliable sides in the league. With 25 points and sitting 7th, they’re unbeaten in their last eight league matches and have made their home ground a fortress, seven straight without defeat, and goals in every single outing. Their 2-0-0 defensive discipline has been a standout, conceding just 0.86 goals per game. Against Vitoria, they showed resilience after being pegged back early, holding firm to a 1-1 draw. It wasn’t flashy, but it spoke volumes about their grit. That’s the kind of form that gives teams an edge in tight contests.
It’s not just the defense. Mirassol are averaging two goals per game and have found the net in each of their last eight. Confidence is brewing. They’ve claimed 11 points in the last five matches and haven’t lost to Vasco in their last five meetings (3 wins, 2 draws). Can they keep that momentum going? The numbers certainly suggest so, 86% of their matches see over 1.5 goals, and they’ve managed three clean sheets in their last five. In short, they’re clicking.
Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, are clinging to survival mode. They’re 16th with just 15 points from 15 games. Their 1-1 draw with Internacional last weekend offered a glimmer of fight, but the lack of goals is worrying. They’ve scored just five in their last five and failed to score in 40% of their matches this season. Midweek’s 0-0 draw against CSA in the Copa do Brasil only added to the frustration. There’s a growing sense they’re stuck in neutral, not sinking, but not moving forward either.
Still, they’ve shown a bit of backbone lately. Vasco are unbeaten in their last two away games, and they’ve seen BTTS land in three of their last five. Matches involving them have a 71% BTTS rate and a consistent over 1.5 goal return (86%). But with an average of just one goal per game, you’ve got to wonder: where will the spark come from? Maybe they throw on another forward. Maybe not. Either way, against this Mirassol side, it’s a tough ask.
It’s shaping up to be another stern test for Vasco, and a chance for Mirassol to keep their climb going. Will the hosts keep the streak alive? Or can Vasco finally rediscover that elusive cutting edge? We’re leaning towards the home side in this one. For more insights, check out the rest of our Brazilian Serie A Predictions.
Mirassol to win is the standout pick here based on their recent consistency and home dominance. They’ve gone unbeaten in their last eight league matches, picking up five wins, and are undefeated in their last seven home games. Scoring is not an issue: they’ve netted in every home match this season and are averaging two goals per game. Defensively, they’re solid too, conceding just 0.86 per match. Compare that to Vasco, who have failed to score in 40% of their matches and are averaging just one goal per game. They’ve drawn their last four games and haven’t won in six. Away from home, they’ve only managed two matches without defeat. With Mirassol boasting confidence, rhythm, and home advantage, it’s hard to overlook them here. The stats align across the board—from xG output to recent trends. Unless Vasco find a new attacking spark, they’re likely to come up short again.
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