New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United Prediction 29.06.2025
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New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United Prediction
New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United Prediction and Betting Tips for this key MLS encounter set for Saturday, June 29. Both sides are targeting crucial points to stay in the playoff picture. Find top-rated MLS Predictions from XpertStats to guide your picks for this match.
- New York Red Bulls have won four straight MLS matches at Red Bull Arena.
- Minnesota United are unbeaten in their last three games against the Red Bulls.
- Over 1.5 goals landed in 89% of Red Bulls’ matches this season.
The New York Red Bulls return to Red Bull Arena hoping to bounce back from a frustrating 1-1 draw against Toronto. Despite dominating large spells, Sandro Schwarz’s men missed several big chances and now risk going three games without a league win. Still, their home form remains solid — they’ve turned Red Bull Arena into a real stronghold, winning four consecutive MLS matches there, including three clean sheets. They average an impressive 2.56 goals scored and just 0.89 conceded per game, making them one of the most reliable home sides in the East.
Offensively, Mohammed Sofo stepped up midweek with a crucial goal in the absence of top scorer Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, who is battling abdominal pain. With Peter Stroud back from suspension, the Red Bulls will aim to regain their scoring touch and extend a seven-match unbeaten run at home against Western Conference opposition. They’ve netted at least two goals in 89% of their MLS fixtures, reinforcing the expectation of goals this weekend.
As for Minnesota United, Eric Ramsay’s squad comes into this clash in fine form, having dispatched Houston Dynamo 3-1 on Wednesday. The Loons sit comfortably in third place in the Western Conference, just three points off top spot. They’ve shown resilience all season, losing only one of their last six league outings. Even more impressive, they’ve won their last two league games when failing to score before halftime, highlighting their strong second-half performances. They average 1.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per match.
Historically, Minnesota have enjoyed their trips to New Jersey, unbeaten in their last three regular-season meetings with the Red Bulls and winning their last two at Red Bull Arena by a single goal. With Bongokuhle Hlongwane and Robin Lod in good scoring touch and a disciplined defensive shape, the Loons will fancy their chances of nicking another result on the road. Expect a competitive matchup with MLS Predictions pointing to a tight affair with goals likely at both ends.
Backing the New York Red Bulls on a double chance makes sense given their strong home record this season. They’ve won four consecutive MLS matches at Red Bull Arena, conceding just three goals across that run and collecting three clean sheets. Statistically, they average 2.56 goals scored and only 0.89 conceded per game — highlighting their stability on home turf. Despite a 1-1 draw at Toronto midweek, the Red Bulls remain resilient when leading games and have not lost any of their last seven home matches against Western Conference opposition. Meanwhile, Minnesota United have enjoyed some good away form but have only won back-to-back away games once this season. Missing key players due to Gold Cup duty could test their depth, especially with a rotated midfield. Considering the Red Bulls’ fortress-like home advantage and consistent scoring, a 1X bet provides strong cover for both a home win and a draw while limiting risk.
The Over 1.5 Goals market looks promising given both teams' offensive and defensive trends. New York Red Bulls games average 3.44 goals per match, and a staggering 89% of their fixtures this season have featured two or more goals. Even when missing key attackers like Choupo-Moting, the Red Bulls have enough firepower through players like Sofo and Forsberg. Minnesota’s matches have been slightly lower-scoring, averaging 2.22 goals, but they’ve seen more attacking intent in recent weeks, including a 3-1 win against Houston. Moreover, both sides share a strong defensive record (each conceding 0.89 goals per match), but with absences in both backlines and Gold Cup-related rotations, there’s room for more goalmouth action. Add in the Red Bulls’ high home scoring rate, and this contest is likely to go over the 1.5 threshold.
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