Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Predictions 14.06.2025
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Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction and Betting Tips for Friday, June 14, as two contrasting Western Conference sides collide at Providence Park. Portland’s home form has sparked a midseason revival, while San Jose hope to recover from a heartbreaking defeat. Dive into XpertStats’ expert MLS Predictions and key betting angles for this encounter.
- Portland Timbers are unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 MLS home matches.
- San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 63% of their MLS matches this season.
- Portland have won five straight home games vs San Jose in all competitions.
- Both sides average over 2.5 total goals per game in the 2025 MLS season.
After a sluggish start to the year, the Portland Timbers have found rhythm at home. Phil Neville’s men are now unbeaten in eight of their last nine league matches at Providence Park, winning their last two, including a 2-1 comeback over St Louis. With 29 points through 17 rounds, the Timbers are nine ahead of last year’s pace and just six points behind Western leaders Vancouver. While still shaky defensively, they’ve kept things tighter at home, conceding one or fewer in seven of nine games in front of their fans.
Statistically, Portland remain an entertaining team to follow. With a goal average of 3.0 per game and 78% of their matches ending with both teams scoring, they’re almost a lock for goal-heavy fixtures. Offensively, they average 5.11 shots on target per match and consistently create danger, hitting over 7.5 shots in 89% of their games. Their last five home meetings with San Jose all ended in victories, underlining their historical dominance in this fixture.
San Jose Earthquakes, meanwhile, are coming off a dramatic loss to St Louis that snapped their eight-match unbeaten streak. Bruce Arena’s side continues to be unpredictable — while they’ve scored 34 goals (the most in the West), they’ve also conceded late and often, including four stoppage-time goals this season. The Quakes average 2.5 total goals per game, with 63% of their matches seeing both teams score, underlining their vulnerability and attacking verve in equal measure.
Interestingly, despite their woes at Providence Park, San Jose have beaten Portland twice in 2025 already, including a US Open Cup win in extra time. Their shooting stats are solid — averaging 6.13 shots on target per match, with 100% of their games going over 8.5 shots. With Arango and Martinez leading the line (a combined 16 goals), the Quakes remain dangerous on the counter, but face a stern test in breaking Portland’s strong home form.
Given both teams’ attacking numbers and leaky defenses, expect an open contest. The best angle? MLS Predictions from XpertStats back a high-scoring draw or narrow home win — but goals feel like the safest bet of all.
This fixture profiles perfectly for the combined market of Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals. Portland Timbers average 3.0 total goals per match in 2025 and have seen BTTS land in 78% of their games. At Providence Park, they’ve been sharp going forward but inconsistent at the back. Meanwhile, San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 63% of their matches and average 2.5 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.38 goals per match and have struggled to close out games, conceding multiple late goals this season. The head-to-head trends also back goals: all five of Portland's most recent home games vs San Jose ended in wins for the Timbers, but with goals on both ends in several of them. With attacking talents like Arango, Martinez, Antony, and Ayala on the pitch, this game promises fireworks. Back BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals as the smart single bet.
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