PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 15.06.2025

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips for the Group B opener at the Club World Cup on Sunday, June 15. The all-European clash takes place at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, as part of the tournament’s expanded format. Discover our expert Club World Cup Predictions on XpertStats, including betting insights and tactical breakdowns for this marquee fixture.

• PSG come into this match after winning a historic treble and scoring 152 goals last season.
• Atletico Madrid beat PSG in their only previous meeting, with just 29% possession.
• Both teams are making their FIFA Club World Cup debuts under the new format.
• This is the first-ever all-European fixture in the Club World Cup.

Paris Saint-Germain arrive in California riding a wave of momentum after a season to remember. Luis Enrique guided the French champions to a clean sweep of domestic and European silverware, capped by a 5-0 thrashing of Inter Milan in the Champions League final. The side’s transformation from superstar-laden unpredictability to tactical balance and relentless pressing has paid dividends, with PSG netting a staggering 152 goals in 58 matches last season. Despite a rocky start in Europe, they have become a lethal force up front with Bradley Barcola, Desire Doue, and Goncalo Ramos all stepping up late in the campaign.

Les Parisiens will be without Ousmane Dembele, who remains doubtful, but otherwise boast a full-strength squad. Having scored at least three goals in four of their last five matches, PSG enter this game as tournament favorites, with a tournament-high 18.5% win probability per Opta’s model. Yet their defensive vulnerabilities remain—keeping just three clean sheets in their last 12 games—which could prove decisive in a fixture of fine margins.

Atletico Madrid, by contrast, endured a rollercoaster campaign that saw promise give way to disappointment. After leading La Liga at the start of the year, Diego Simeone’s men fell away, finishing third and going without a trophy. Still, they produced a club-record 15-match winning streak mid-season and ended the campaign in style with a 4-0 win over Girona. With Ángel Correa, Julian Alvarez, and Alexander Sørloth all in scoring form, Atletico’s firepower shouldn’t be underestimated—especially in transition.

History favours Simeone’s structured style in matchups like this. Atletico defeated PSG 2-1 at the Parc des Princes last November, converting a mere four shots and holding just 29% possession. That night exemplified the Spanish side’s classic smash-and-grab identity, one they may replicate here. With a full-strength lineup and no major injury concerns, Atletico’s low block and countering threat remain their strongest assets. While PSG will likely dominate the ball, Club World Cup Predictions suggest this will be a close-run battle decided by moments of efficiency.