PSG vs Real Madrid Prediction 09.07.2025


PSG vs Real Madrid Prediction
PSG vs Real Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips for Wednesday’s Club World Cup semi-final at the MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. Paris Saint-Germain will look to extend their stunning knockout run and reach the final, while Real Madrid’s incredible record in this competition makes them a formidable hurdle. Get the latest insight and Club World Cup Predictions from our XpertStats tipsters.
- Real Madrid unbeaten in FIFA Club World Cup history
- PSG have won four straight knockout ties with clean sheets
- Two sides with huge attacking talent set to clash in New Jersey
Paris Saint-Germain arrive in New Jersey brimming with confidence after dispatching Bayern Munich 2-0 in the quarter-finals despite finishing with nine men. Luis Enrique’s side have now won four straight knockout matches in all competitions by a combined score of 14-0, showcasing defensive discipline and attacking depth. The French giants boast nine different goalscorers in this tournament, matching the likes of Chelsea and Manchester City, proving that goals can come from anywhere in their line-up.
Key to PSG’s chances will be Achraf Hakimi, who has delivered either a goal or assist in each of his last three Club World Cup outings. However, they will have to cope without defensive duo Willian Pacho and Lucas Hernandez due to suspensions, putting added pressure on a reshuffled backline. Even so, the Parisians’ free-flowing attack, which has racked up an incredible 164 goals in all competitions this season, suggests they won’t shy away from an open game here.
On the other side, Real Madrid’s record at this level speaks for itself — 17 wins and three draws all-time in FIFA Club World Cup action. Xabi Alonso’s side survived a late scare to edge Borussia Dortmund 3-2 last time out, with Thibaut Courtois producing a heroic last-minute save to preserve their perfect run. Gonzalo García continues to shine, scoring in every match so far and becoming joint-top scorer of the tournament. Los Blancos’ wealth of firepower, including Mbappé, Rodrygo, and Díaz off the bench, gives them an edge in shootouts.
While Madrid’s defense showed some frailties against Dortmund, they remain ruthless in big moments and thrive in high-scoring battles. With both teams missing key defensive pieces but boasting elite forwards in red-hot form, a goal-heavy contest is strongly expected. Expect another classic when these European powerhouses collide under the bright lights in New Jersey. Don’t miss our final Club World Cup Predictions for your best bet on this thrilling semi-final showdown.

Both Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid come into this semi-final with attacking numbers that make Over 2.5 Goals a standout pick. PSG have netted 14 goals across their last four knockout matches without reply, while their overall goal tally this season has reached an eye-watering 164 in all competitions. Real Madrid, meanwhile, have found the net in every Club World Cup game they’ve played and average over two goals per match. Gonzalo García and Kylian Mbappé are both in superb scoring form, and Madrid’s late defensive lapses against Dortmund exposed a backline that can be breached. PSG will be without two key defenders due to suspension, which should open up even more space for Madrid’s attack. Combine this with the fact that both clubs have the firepower to exploit any defensive gaps, and this semi-final in New Jersey has all the ingredients for a goal-fest. Expect end-to-end action and at least three goals.
Backing Both Teams to Score is sensible for this semi-final given both clubs’ attacking threats and recent defensive wobbles. PSG’s record of four knockout wins without conceding is impressive, but they now face an attack that has scored in 20 straight Club World Cup matches. Madrid have proven they can score against any defense, netting three against Dortmund even with ten men. PSG’s missing defenders — Hernandez and Pacho — mean a reshuffled backline will need to stop Madrid’s quick transitions and Gonzalo García’s sharp finishing. On the other side, Madrid themselves looked shaky late against Dortmund, conceding a penalty and only Courtois’ heroics saved them from extra time. With so much attacking firepower on show, from Mbappé to Hakimi, a clean sheet for either side looks unlikely. The combination of defensive absences and offensive depth means Both Teams to Score is the smart bet for this high-stakes semi-final clash.
