Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid Prediction 24.08.2025

Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips for Sunday’s La Liga clash at the Estadio Carlos Tartiere. The newly-promoted Asturians are back in the big time after 24 long years, while Xabi Alonso’s Madrid are chasing a second straight win to kick off the campaign. In this article, you’ll find LaLiga Predictions from XpertStats experts.

• Real Oviedo return to La Liga for the first time since 2001, but their opener ended in defeat at Villarreal.
• Real Madrid edged past Osasuna 1-0, with Kylian Mbappe finding the net on debut.
• Los Blancos aim for back-to-back wins before facing Mallorca and Real Sociedad in September.
• Oviedo have only beaten Madrid 14 times in 85 meetings, last sharing points in June 2001.

It’s been a long road back for Real Oviedo. From the Segunda and even the lower leagues, the Blues finally clawed their way back through last season’s playoffs. But survival looks like the real challenge now. Their 2-0 defeat at Villarreal in the opening round showed just how steep the climb is. Salomon Rondon missed a penalty, Alberto Reina saw red, and the team never really looked capable of wrestling control. Can Veljko Paunovic’s men really steady the ship against Madrid? Hard to see it, though stranger things have happened in football.

History doesn’t exactly smile on Oviedo either. In 85 meetings, they’ve lost 55 times to Los Blancos, including that heavy 4-0 Copa del Rey exit in November 2022. Yet, they’ll cling to a bit of nostalgia: the last La Liga clash between these two, way back in June 2001, ended 1-1. Fans at the Carlos Tartiere would give anything for a repeat. With veteran Santi Cazorla pushing for minutes, there’s at least some hope of stability and experience in midfield.

For Real Madrid, things feel a little different. Alonso’s debut league match in charge ended with a narrow 1-0 win over Osasuna, thanks to a Mbappe strike. It wasn’t breathtaking, but it did the job. Madrid were second to Barcelona last season, four points short, and they know the importance of starting strong. With Antonio Rudiger back from suspension, Militao fit again, and Vinicius expected to flank Mbappe, there’s every chance this team finds a rhythm sooner rather than later. Alonso himself hinted that “clean wins early” matter more than style right now.

In truth, Madrid look heavy favorites. Their away record late last season was strong, and Oviedo’s attacking threat is paper-thin. Injuries to key players like Camavinga and Bellingham might slow Alonso’s options, but the firepower up front remains overwhelming. A professional, controlled display feels likely, the sort where Madrid do just enough without overexerting themselves. That’s usually how it goes against newly-promoted sides. And when you’ve got Mbappe firing, it’s hard to bet against them. Still, it’s football — and Oviedo fans will hold onto that sliver of belief. After all, wasn’t it June 2001 when things ended all square? That’s the beauty of this game. Even the improbable has its day.

Expect Madrid to lean on experience, Oviedo to dig deep, and the outcome to fit neatly into what most LaLiga Predictions already suggest: a visitor win, most likely with a bit of caution rather than chaos.