Santos vs Flamengo Prediction 17.07.2025
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Santos vs Flamengo Prediction
Santos vs Flamengo Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 14 of the Brazilian Serie A, set for Thursday, July 18. The Estádio Urbano Caldeira hosts this clash where Santos hope to halt a four-match losing streak at home to Flamengo. In this article, you’ll discover Brazilian Serie A Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Neymar returns for Santos as they fight to escape the relegation zone.
- Flamengo boast a strong defensive record with only 0.6 goals conceded on average.
- Both teams average around 2 goals per match, suggesting chances at both ends.
Santos come into this game with a point to prove as they look to climb out of the danger zone. Cleber Xavier’s side sit just above the drop on goal difference, collecting 11 points from 12 games. The return of Neymar after suspension offers a timely boost for Alvinegro Praiano, who are fresh from a 3-1 friendly win over Desportiva Ferroviaria. Still, their league form paints a worrying picture: only two wins from the last eight matches, five losses, and a home record that has produced just five points from a possible 15.
The hosts average 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded per match, with 60% of their games seeing over 1.5 goals. However, scoring at home has been inconsistent and they have not beaten Flamengo at home since April. Santos must be sharper at the back to have any chance of stopping the league leaders, especially as they face a side that has outclassed them in four straight home encounters with a combined scoreline of 10-3.
Flamengo, meanwhile, arrive full of confidence after returning from the FIFA Club World Cup and easing past Sao Paulo 2-0. Filipe Luis’s men are level on points with Cruzeiro at the summit but hold a game in hand and a superior goal difference. O Mais Querido have tightened up defensively, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per match and keeping nine clean sheets from 12 league games. Their attacking stats are equally impressive with 1.4 goals scored per game and an 80% rate of matches featuring over 1.5 goals.
The visitors have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning each of their last four visits to Santos. Injury concerns for Flamengo include Alex Sandro and Ayrton Lucas, but their squad depth means they remain favourites to extend their unbeaten run. For more insight and value picks, check out our latest Brazilian Serie A Predictions on XpertStats.
Flamengo to win looks a solid call given their impressive domestic form and recent record at Santos. Filipe Luis’s men have won four straight visits to the Estádio Urbano Caldeira, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 3. Their defensive shape has improved significantly, with the side conceding only 0.6 goals on average per match and keeping nine clean sheets in 12 league outings. Offensively, they remain strong, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game and seeing 80% of matches with over 1.5 goals. In contrast, Santos struggle for consistency, particularly at home, having picked up just five points from their last five home fixtures. While Neymar’s return boosts their attack, the overall team balance still looks fragile. Given Flamengo’s superior squad depth, proven record on the road, and ability to grind out wins even when missing key players, the visitors are rightly favourites and should have enough to secure another valuable three points.
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