Sao Paulo vs Vasco Predictions 13.06.2025
Share
Sao Paulo vs Vasco Predictions
Sao Paulo vs Vasco Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 12 of the Brazilian Serie A, scheduled on Thursday, June 13 at 22:30. The game takes place at the iconic Estadio do MorumBIS. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and our Brazilian Serie A Predictions to guide your bets.
- Sao Paulo have averaged 32.5 total fouls per match this season, among the highest in Serie A.
- Vasco da Gama are winless in their last four away league games.
- Both teams have injury concerns that limit attacking options.
- Head-to-head: Sao Paulo are unbeaten in six of their last seven against Vasco.
Sao Paulo enter this fixture having picked up just one win from their last seven league games. Despite their resilience early in the campaign, which saw four consecutive draws, the Tricolours have struggled to convert possession into points. Defensive fragility has also been a concern, with 11 goals conceded across 11 matches. Their injury list includes key names like Lucas Moura and Jonathan Calleri, further weakening their attacking thrust. Playing at home, however, they’ll aim to exploit Vasco’s poor away record and tighten up at the back to secure a much-needed win.
Meanwhile, Vasco da Gama have also faced turbulent form this season. With three wins and seven losses in 11 games, they sit precariously close to the relegation zone. The visitors have especially struggled on the road, winless in four away fixtures so far in 2025. Defensively, they’ve been porous, conceding 15 goals — the joint-fourth worst in the division. Dimitri Payet remains unavailable, further limiting creative options in midfield. Coach Alvaro Pacheco will need to find a tactical balance to avoid a third straight defeat in Serie A.
Both teams are known for high-intensity, physical play. Sao Paulo commit an average of 16 fouls per game and draw 16.5 — bringing their total to 32.5 fouls per match. Vasco aren’t far behind, with a combined foul average of 28.2. This match promises to be a combative affair, particularly in midfield, where possession battles and transitions could lead to frequent stoppages. Such a profile makes this clash ideal for foul-based prop bets, especially considering both sides’ current inconsistency in front of goal.
While neither team enters this game in great form, Sao Paulo’s home advantage and Vasco’s away woes could tip the balance. However, with multiple absences and defensive vulnerabilities on both ends, expect a scrappy battle. Look beyond the final result and focus on match dynamics — like high foul counts — when making your betting decisions. For more insights across Brazil’s top tier, check our Brazilian Serie A Predictions updated weekly on XpertStats.
This matchup between Sao Paulo and Vasco is statistically primed for a foul-heavy affair. Sao Paulo alone contribute to a whopping 32.5 total fouls per match (16 committed, 16.5 suffered). Vasco’s average is slightly lower but still notable, totaling 28.2 fouls per game (14.6 committed, 13.6 suffered). Combined, the average for both teams reaches 30.35 fouls per match — significantly higher than the 27.5-line. With both sides under pressure to turn around poor form, this fixture is likely to be fiercely contested, particularly in midfield. Injuries to key creative players could also see more physical play in the absence of fluid attacking movements. Given these data-backed insights, the Over 27.5 Fouls bet holds excellent value.
More Predictions:
