Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg Prediction 18.07.2025
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Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg Prediction
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg Prediction and Betting Tips for this Friday’s Eliteserien encounter at Sarpsborg Stadion. The hosts are on a seven-match unbeaten run and will be aiming to climb further up the table against a Rosenborg side desperate for consistency. Dive into our detailed analysis and discover our Eliteserien Predictions crafted by XpertStats experts.
- Sarpsborg are unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions
- Rosenborg have not beaten Sarpsborg since September 2021
- Both teams have averaged over 2.5 goals per match this season
- Top scorer Daniel Karlsbakk has 13 goals in 15 appearances for Sarpsborg
Sarpsborg come into this clash in solid form, having lost just once in the Eliteserien since late April. Christian Michelsen’s side sit sixth in the table with 21 points from 13 matches, and notably, they have two games in hand on Rosenborg. At home, Sarpsborg have taken 8 points from a possible 18, showing mixed form but enough resilience to challenge even the top sides. They boast an impressive scoring rate, averaging 1.83 goals per match, and 83% of their games have featured over 1.5 goals.
Daniel Karlsbakk remains Sarpsborg’s biggest attacking threat, scoring 13 goals in 15 appearances so far. Supported by Harald Tangen in midfield, who contributes creatively and defensively, Sarpsborg appear well-balanced. With Aimar Sher and Anders Hiim sidelined, the lineup remains largely predictable, with no major tactical surprises expected. Given their recent dominance over Rosenborg—four wins in the last five meetings—the hosts are in a strong position to add to that record.
Rosenborg, meanwhile, snapped a poor run with a 2-0 win over HamKam last time out, their first league victory since May. Alfred Johansson’s men are currently fourth but inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches. Despite collecting 10 points on the road, their defensive issues linger, having conceded an average of 1.57 goals per game. Only 29% of their matches have seen both teams score, indicating offensive struggles combined with vulnerability at the back.
Star striker Noah Holm is expected to lead the line once again, with support from Dino Islamovic. However, the absence of young talent Sverre Nypan due to off-field speculation further limits their creative depth. Historically dominant in Norwegian football, Rosenborg have struggled to replicate their past form. Given their poor recent record against Sarpsborg and uneven performances this season, they face a tough test against a confident, organized opponent.
For more match breakdowns and forecasts, check out our bold and data-driven Eliteserien Predictions on XpertStats.
Sarpsborg are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions, and they’ve developed a strong home presence despite inconsistent early-season form. With 21 points from just 13 games and two games in hand over Rosenborg, the hosts have momentum on their side. Daniel Karlsbakk’s explosive form (13 goals in 15 games) makes Sarpsborg a constant threat in front of goal. Historically, Sarpsborg have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning four of their last five league meetings with Rosenborg. Meanwhile, Rosenborg have struggled for consistency, managing only one league win since May and scoring just one goal per match on average. Despite their win over HamKam, Rosenborg still show signs of fragility, particularly on the road. With Sverre Nypan left out amid transfer speculation and creative gaps showing, this is a prime opportunity for Sarpsborg to secure all three points and continue their upward trajectory.
Both Sarpsborg and Rosenborg have seen the majority of their matches go over 1.5 goals this season, with Sarpsborg hitting that mark in 83% of their games and Rosenborg slightly higher at 86%. This is a strong statistical indicator that we can expect at least two goals on Friday. Sarpsborg alone average 1.83 goals scored per game, and with both teams involved in high-tempo attacking football, chances are likely to come at both ends. Rosenborg may struggle for clean sheets, conceding 1.57 goals per match, and Sarpsborg are not impervious either, conceding 1.17 on average. While Rosenborg's BTTS rate is lower, they do often see games open up late. Both teams possess attacking quality and play styles that favor fast transitions and wide play. Over 1.5 goals offers excellent safety without stretching risk too far, especially in a fixture where goals have flowed in recent seasons.
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