Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Prediction 15.06.2025
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Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Predictions
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Prediction and Betting Tips for this Saturday’s MLS clash at Children’s Mercy Park. With both sides stuck in the lower half of the Western Conference, this match is vital for their hopes of a playoff push. Discover the latest MLS Predictions from the experts at XpertStats.
- Sporting Kansas City have taken just 6 points from their last 6 matches
- FC Dallas have gone winless in their last 6 matches in all competitions
- Dallas average 2.56 yellow cards per game—highest among Western Conference teams
- Sporting KC have won 4 of the last 8 head-to-heads at home vs Dallas
Sporting Kansas City are struggling for consistency, having taken just one win from their last six league games. Their four-match unbeaten run was recently snapped by a 3-1 loss away at LAFC, despite leading the match early. Coach Kerry Zavagnin may look to shuffle his lineup slightly, with Jake Davis and Tim Leibold candidates to start. At home, KC have gathered 8 points from 7 fixtures, and they’ll be eager to exploit Dallas’ defensive absences.
The main concern for Sporting has been their defensive discipline and game control. They average 1.86 yellow cards per match but often provoke more from opponents—drawing an average of 2.14 cards. This could be key against a Dallas side already struggling with suspensions and card accumulation. A bounce-back result at home could shift momentum in their favor if they capitalize on these tactical openings.
FC Dallas, meanwhile, are in desperate need of a result after going winless in their last six outings. Although they managed a clean sheet in their most recent 0-0 draw against Philadelphia Union, their attacking spark and discipline remain major concerns. With 2.56 cards received per game—the second-worst mark in MLS—discipline will be under the microscope, especially with Lalas Abubakar and Sebastien Ibeagha both suspended for this trip.
Eric Quill’s side has surprisingly collected 13 points on the road this season, showing some resilience away from home. However, their form has dipped lately, with two losses in their last three road matches. Defensive depth is limited for this fixture, and the combination of enforced changes and mounting pressure could play into Sporting KC’s hands. Both sides will view this game as a turning point, but the numbers suggest FC Dallas may struggle to stay composed.
MLS Predictions for this encounter point to a tense, card-heavy contest between two sides desperate for a spark.
FC Dallas to receive more cards is a statistically grounded pick for Saturday’s clash. The Texan side has averaged 2.56 yellow cards per game, higher than Sporting Kansas City’s 1.86. In fact, Dallas rank among the most booked sides in the Western Conference. Their aggression often boils over in away fixtures, where they're prone to disciplinary issues. Further compounding the issue are suspensions: both Lalas Abubakar and Sebastien Ibeagha are out due to previous cards. With defensive reshuffling expected, communication and timing may suffer—common triggers for bookings. Sporting Kansas City, on the other hand, tend to provoke fouls and cards from opponents, drawing an average of 2.14 cards per game. Given Dallas’ track record and the pressure they’re under to secure a result, tempers could flare again. In a game expected to be tight and physical, back FC Dallas to commit more fouls and end up with more cards.
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