Tottenham vs Burnley Prediction 16.08.2025
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Tottenham vs Burnley Prediction
Tottenham vs Burnley Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s Premier League opener at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Spurs are fresh from a nail-biting penalty defeat to PSG in the UEFA Super Cup, while Burnley arrive with the best defensive record in English league history. In this article, you’ll discover Premier League Predictions from our XpertStats team.
- Tottenham host Burnley in the first Premier League gameweek of the 2025-26 season.
- Thomas Frank’s side aim to bounce back after a dramatic UEFA Super Cup defeat to PSG.
- Burnley return to the top flight with a historic defensive record from the Championship.
- Scott Parker faces his old club in a tricky opening-day trip to North London.
For Spurs, Wednesday night could have been the dream double, two European trophies in four months, but instead, it ended in heartbreak. Micky van de Ven and Cristian Romero found the net against PSG, only for late goals from Lee Kang-in and Goncalo Ramos to drag the game into penalties. Misses from Van de Ven and Mathys Tel sealed the loss, but the performance was encouraging. The question is: can Frank’s men shake it off quickly? Their opening-day record against promoted sides says yes, but 13 straight league games without a clean sheet is a worrying trend.
Frank’s injury list is long: Maddison, Dragusin, Udogie, Kulusevski, Gil, Takai, and Solomon are all ruled out – yet Dominic Solanke’s return could be a timely boost. His presence should allow Tottenham to play more aggressively than they did against PSG, especially at home. Even so, without Yves Bissouma (benched for lateness in midweek), Spurs’ midfield balance could be a talking point again.
Burnley’s story is remarkable: 100 points in the Championship, just 16 goals conceded, and 30 clean sheets, a feat no English side has matched. And yet, they didn’t win the title. Scott Parker has crafted a disciplined, hard-to-break unit, but the Premier League is another beast. The Clarets have conceded in their last 20 top-flight matches, and history hasn’t been kind in trips to Spurs, just one point from nine visits.
Still, Burnley travel with an almost fully fit squad. New keeper Martin Dubravka could debut if his shoulder holds up, and Premier League winner Kyle Walker returns to familiar surroundings. Parker might ease Armando Broja back, but expect Burnley to set up with a compact backline and test Tottenham on the break. Opening days can be unpredictable, and while Spurs look favourites, Burnley’s defensive grit could make this one tighter than many expect. One thing’s certain: this clash has all the ingredients to light up the first weekend of the season. Premier League Predictions don’t get much trickier than this.
Tottenham’s attacking style under Thomas Frank naturally produces high corner counts, especially at home. Against PSG midweek, they racked up several corners through sustained wide play and overlapping full-backs like Pedro Porro and Djed Spence. With Dominic Solanke back in the XI, Spurs will look to whip in crosses and force Burnley’s disciplined defence into last-ditch clearances. Burnley, while defensively compact, often concede territory in the final third, leading to more corners against. In last season’s Championship, their opponents averaged 5.8 corners per game, even with their strong defensive record. Add to that Burnley’s counter-attacking threat with quick wide players, and they’re capable of winning corners themselves when breaking forward. Early-season matches often see open play and defensive lapses as teams find rhythm. This combination: Spurs’ attacking width and Burnley’s willingness to defend deep – points toward a game with well over 9.5 corners. Both sides have the tools to keep flag-kick counts high.
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