Tromso vs Fredrikstad Prediction 02.08.2025
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Tromso vs Fredrikstad Prediction
Tromso vs Fredrikstad Prediction and Betting Tips for Sunday’s Eliteserien clash at the Alfheim Stadion. Tromso remain firmly in the European qualification mix, sitting third with three games in hand on league leaders Viking. Can they keep their foot on the gas at home? Check out our full breakdown, along with Eliteserien Predictions from the XpertStats team.
- Tromso are unbeaten in their last four home games, winning all of them
- Fredrikstad have lost their last five away matches in all competitions
- Only one of the last seven head-to-heads saw both teams score
- Tromso are chasing European qualification and sit just 8 points off top
Things didn’t go as planned for Tromso last weekend. A 4-1 loss to Rosenborg wasn’t just heavy, it was humbling. Dino Islamovic tore them apart, scoring all four goals in a brutal solo display. Daniel Braut’s consolation meant little, and the red card capped off a night to forget. Still, Tromso’s form at home tells a different story. They’ve won their last four matches at Alfheim, often by the slimmest of margins. Eight of their last nine home games have ended with a one-goal difference. Nervy? Maybe. Effective? Definitely.
Fredrikstad, on the other hand, are hard to figure out. They just edged a wild 3-2 win over Stromsgodset, thanks to a late strike by Emil Holten. That win lifted them to seventh, which isn’t bad for a newly-promoted side. But scratch beneath the surface, and the cracks show. They’ve now gone five straight away games without a win and have lost on each of their last five visits to Tromso. That’s a rough trend to reverse, especially when the crowd in Tromso smells blood.
Goals have been hard to come by for Fredrikstad. They’re averaging just 0.86 goals per game and conceding 1.43. Contrast that with Tromso’s 1.57 average goals scored and 1.00 conceded, and the gap becomes clearer. Tromso are more efficient, more confident at home, and have recent history on their side. Their last clash in June ended with Tromso snatching a 1-0 away win. That memory will sting and motivate.
So, who has the edge? On paper, it’s Tromso. In the stands, it’s Tromso. On the pitch, unless Fredrikstad rewrite the script, it’s likely to be Tromso again. Still, football has a funny way of throwing in a twist. But with form, stats, and motivation all lined up, we’re backing the hosts to extend their home run. The race for Europe continues.
Tromso have been near-unbeatable at home lately, and that’s no accident. They’ve won their last four matches at Alfheim, building a fortress that’s hard to break. Their scoring average of 1.57 goals per game reflects a well-balanced side that knows how to grind out wins. More impressively, they’re only conceding one goal per match on average. That defensive solidity becomes even more valuable when playing a side like Fredrikstad, who have scored just 0.86 goals per game this season. Fredrikstad’s away form is also a major red flag, they’ve lost five straight on the road, including their last five visits to Tromso. Historically, Tromso have the upper hand, winning 12 of the last 21 head-to-heads. Add in the psychological edge of a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture in June, and it’s clear why the home side are favorites. Tromso might not blow teams away, but they get the job done—especially in their backyard.
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